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Personally, the new year represents a time to go on a diet, to set both real and imaginary goals for the year, to cut spending and even start contemplating tax season. This year I am commited to delivering a monthly newsletter and monthly conference call on an intersting topic. I hope that you enjoy both of them. May 2010 bring you good health, happiness and prosperity.
Over the last ten years the median price for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was approximately 10,500 (see attached chart). On December 31st the index closed at 10,428. The rally of 2009 could be considered a reversion to the median price from the early panic low. I believe it is now likely that the stock market consolidates around the 10,500 level +/- 1,000 points for the balance of the year. A herd driven market should be replaced by an analyst driven market.
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In 2010, tax laws have changed to permit taxpayers with income over $100,000 to convert all or part of their IRA's to Roth IRA's. This is good news because income earned in Roth IRA's is not taxed by federal or state governments. The downside is that you have to "buy out" the government's share of your current IRA by adding the converted amount to your taxable income. This could very likely push you into a higher tax bracket and may result in supplemental AMT taxes. This strategy only makes sense if your current combined tax rate is equal to or lower than your future tax rate...
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